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Vested Interest

Is “kids playing sports” an asset class?

August 21, 2026

Section - This Week
  • Fed chair talks to dead people but not investors, rattling investors
  • Rare earth metals make a run for the border
  • Inventor of UPC symbol: My job was beach
  • Put me in coach, I see untapped synergies
This Week
One of the private equity companies working in the youth sports space does, in fact, sell $7 hot dogs. (Images via iStock.)
Section - The Index
Three numbers that explain the economic moment
5.34%
The 30-year Treasury yield’s peak on Tuesday, its highest level in 19 years—and we know we were just talking about the dang 30-year yield, but there are a few reasons it kept rising that may be relevant to you. Information in this newsletter is accurate as of the time of publication but is subject to change. Oil reserves reached their lowest levels since 1982; July retail sales fell 0.6% from June, raising questions about how long The Consumer will continue to spend; and Fed chair Kevin Warsh, who has apparently spoken with an AI version of Milton Friedman, has stayed quiet about his plans. (Policy uncertainty, weak growth, and potential energy-price inflation are all reasons investors might demand more return on a loan they’re giving the US government.) On Wednesday the Treasury Department said it would “at least double” debt repurchases, i.e. buying its own bonds on the open market. (This increases overall demand for bonds, which allows their issuers to offer lower interest rates.)
$4.6 million
Operating cash flow reported by BlackBerry in its most recent fiscal quarter, the Waterloovian enterprise’s first cash-positive Q1 in nine years. Shockingly, this rebound isn’t the result of a TikTok trend in which retro-tech enthusiasts complete “the QWERTY Challenge,” which they couldn’t do anyway because BlackBerry stopped making phones in 2016. Rather, it’s the payoff from two acquisitions made by BlackBerry’s parent company: QNX, whose operating system runs in more than 275 million cars around the world, and Secusmart, a national-security-grade encrypted-communications specialist whose clients include NATO.
$8 billion
The reported size of Stripe’s deal to acquire OpenRouter, a startup that helps users navigate AI models. A payment processor buying a seemingly unrelated platform (for six times what that platform was valued at in May) is just one sign that investors’ embrace of the sector isn’t losing much momentum. Another: a Meta AI researcher who was reportedly earning $100 million a year is leaving that gig to start his own presumably AI-related company. Some people may be feeling uneasy about AI, but many of its shareholders are still riding a pretty big wave, which conveniently delivers them to the beach behind their newly purchased Bay Area mansions.
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Section - The Chart
What’s quietly moving (or allegedly moving) across borders these days
The chartThe chartThe chartThe chartThe chartThe chartThe chartThe chart
Images via iStock
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Section - The Wildcard
The most important drawing in retail history
Section Wildcard
The initial concept for the scannable barcode. (Image via US Patent Office.)
Here’s a piece of trivia for vacation season: One of the men who co-invented the UPC symbol, Norman Joseph Woodland, said he came up with the idea for the barcode while looking at lines his fingers had idly traced through sand at the beach. That concept became the diagram above, filed with a patent application in October 1949. Woodland and his partner only made $15,000 off their creation, selling it to Philco in 1952, because the technology required to make it practical at scale wasn’t perfected until the 1970s. (Making the code out of vertical lines instead of circles also made it easier to print.)
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Section - The Story
Americans love making money and caring too much about sports. What happens when those two passions collide?
The Story
Image by Wealthfront
Nothing says “the end of summer” like the Little League World Series edging its way onto TV screens. Founded in 1939 by a lumberyard clerk and still largely volunteer-run and locally sponsored, the nonprofit Little League organization continues to draw around 2 million participants each year.

The LLWS has a private challenger, though: The Ripken Nationals, a tournament that culminates in a July 4 title game for 12-year-old boys, the same demographic that competes in Little League. (This year, the Nationals were broadcast on CBS Sports Network.) And Ripken Baseball is owned by Unrivaled Sports, a firm founded by veterans of capital management titans Apollo and Blackstone.

Youth baseball isn’t the only sport that so-called private equity investors have their eye on, and you may not be surprised to hear that not everyone is happy about that. Headlines describe international outrage, “bipartisan scrutiny,” and congressional legislation that would ban private equity from youth athletics completely. A recent state-of-the-industry sports-investing report asserted that the risk of being associated with “extraction,” i.e. increasing one’s profits by delivering a worse product, is threatening “the brand of the sector itself.”

The story of this conflict says something about both modern market conditions and the timeless human impulses that drive economic outcomes. Let’s discuss!

Where private equity comes from—and what it sees in sports

In the early ’80s, Wall Street firms got increasingly interested in buying privately owned businesses, making big changes to the way they operated, and selling them for huge profits. Naturally, this made others keen to invest their money with those profitable firms—particularly the managers of pools of money like university endowments and pension funds. They saw a way to diversify their holdings and, well, make more money than they could by only investing in public markets.

All the money coming into PE firms has sometimes left them with more cash than they know what to do with—“dry powder,” in jargon—while returns have gotten harder to come by. So they’ve sought out less obvious places for well-heeled finance types to be poking around in: Exterminators’ trucks, car washes, youth and nonprofit sports organizations. In sports, PE managers see two things: Recurring revenue (sports never seem to get less popular) and the opportunity to consolidate a hodgepodge of mom-and-pop, municipal, and volunteer operators into something more closely resembling a typical business.

And what’s wrong with that, huh?

Well, private equity firms have a reputation for imposing cost-cutting measures and nuisance fees without regard for their human impact, and some private owners are accused of monopolizing access to sports in certain areas in order to raise prices. (There’s evidence that youth sports have gotten less accessible to lower-income families as private money has moved in.) As FIFA and the Big Ten conference learned when they tried to sell brand rights to private investors, there is something about ceding control of a sports institution to Wall Street that strikes the average person as a bad idea.

The flip side: Youth sports’ web of decentralized leagues, apps, and facilities can, in fact, create a less-than-ideal experience for both parents and actual kids. Skeptical observers ranging from this Bloomberg reporter to the lead witness at a recent congressional hearing have praised operators like Unrivaled and RCX, which runs the NFL’s flag football league, for providing useful services without raising cost barriers. (Those companies also appear to plan on retaining their properties for the long haul rather than “flipping” them like a traditional PE firm.) There’s also an argument that concerned public officials could be doing more to address issues around access and travel costs themselves by building more fields and facilities.

Breaking news: Human condition to continue perpetuating itself

“Once somebody does it the first time and puts the playbook together, others will follow,” says Matthew Gravelle, a director at the advisory firm Stout, which wrote the report we cited. He said the legislation mentioned above caused only a brief pause in activity; it’s considered unlikely to pass because it doesn’t have bipartisan support. Private investment in sports is not slowing: Apollo recently led a $225 million investment to consolidate the pickleball industry (!) and just signed a $2.6 billion deal with the New York Yankees.

Fans want their teams to win, and that requires money, even on what used to be known as the amateur level; modern parents want to create customized enrichment and upbringing plans for each of their children, and meeting that need takes overhead. Children’s sports, pets, the Boston Red Sox—if you’ll grit your teeth and keep spending on it even if you don’t like the price you’re paying, an enterprising private equity investor will probably find it.
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Topic Tracker
# of consecutive issues in which we mentioned SpaceX before this one: 4
# of takes on the “$20 burrito” in this issue: 0, you’re welcome
# of mentions of AI Milton Friedman in this issue: 1

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